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CRE News Roundup: Capital Gets Selective

MogulAim Team··5 min read

Commercial real estate did not move in one direction this week. Office users kept shrinking and rethinking footprints, adaptive reuse kept attracting serious capital, retail stayed healthy but less aggressive on rent, industrial development followed manufacturing demand, and multifamily sales showed early signs of price stability. For brokers, the message is simple: activity is there, but it is getting more selective by product, location, and execution.

Federal office consolidation adds another signal for the office market

On April 20, the GSA announced that it will temporarily move its headquarters operations into the Theodore Roosevelt Federal Building and co-locate with the Office of Personnel Management while 1800 F Street is renovated. The agency said about 40% of its current headquarters has been deemed uninhabitable because of deferred maintenance, and the long-term plan is to reopen a shared headquarters in 2028 and accelerate disposition of the temporary building afterward.

This matters beyond Washington. It is another real-world example of large occupiers using consolidation to cut underused space and redirect dollars into better buildings. Brokers in office markets should keep watching the split between commodity space and buildings that can still win tenants through quality, location, and a believable reuse plan.

More capital is lining up behind office-to-residential conversions in Manhattan

Adaptive reuse stayed in the headlines this week too. The Real Deal reported on April 20 that investor Idan Ofer has partnered on four Manhattan office-to-residential projects totaling at least 1,400 planned rentals. The article highlighted conversions at 767 Third Avenue, 101 Greenwich Street, 1 Whitehall Street, and 845 Third Avenue.

That does not mean every obsolete office building is suddenly a housing play. It does mean experienced capital is still willing to move when the location, basis, and floorplate make the math work. For brokers, especially in gateway markets, conversion potential is becoming a sharper underwriting question, not just a headline. Owners of older office assets need honest positioning, and buyers want fewer stories and more proof.

Retail rents are still rising, just not with the same leverage landlords had before

Retail kept showing resilience, but with a more normalized tone. According to CoStar data released April 22, U.S. retail asking rent growth slowed to 1.9% year over year in the first quarter. CoStar said the slowdown reflects a slight loosening in vacancy and moderating tenant sales growth, while leasing activity and occupancy remain relatively strong. The report also noted that Sun Belt markets are still posting gains, while Midwestern markets such as Minneapolis, Columbus, Milwaukee, Cincinnati, Kansas City, and St. Louis showed renewed momentum.

For retail brokers, this looks less like weakness and more like a reset in negotiating power. Tenants are pushing back harder on rent because occupancy costs have moved closer to historical norms and operating costs are still elevated. In practical terms, that means merchandising, traffic drivers, and deal structure matter even more. Grocery-anchored and neighborhood formats still have a story. Weak space with no differentiation has less room to hide.

Industrial demand still has teeth, and manufacturing users are shaping the map

Industrial stayed active on both the leasing and development side. JLL's Q1 2026 industrial update said 145.2 million square feet of leases were executed in the first quarter, with net absorption at 50.9 million square feet and big-box leasing up 80.7% year over year. At the same time, major occupier expansions kept reinforcing the case for specialized industrial product. On April 22, AbbVie announced a $1.4 billion investment in a 185-acre pharmaceutical manufacturing campus in Durham, North Carolina, where the company plans to build advanced manufacturing and lab space and create 734 jobs.

Brokers should read that combination carefully. Generic warehouse demand is one thing. Advanced manufacturing, pharma, and high-spec logistics demand are another. Power, labor, site readiness, and building specs are becoming bigger parts of the conversation. If you cover industrial, the winning pitch is getting more operational and less generic by the quarter.

Multifamily sales are moving, even if the market is still cautious

Multifamily delivered one of the clearest signs of a market that wants to transact but still cares deeply about rates. Multifamily Dive reported on April 23 that apartment sales rose 1% year over year to $32 billion in the first quarter, citing MSCI Real Assets data. Individual asset sales rose 3% to $27.6 billion, portfolio sales fell 13% to $4.4 billion, apartment prices were essentially flat, and cap rates increased 10 basis points year over year to 5.8%.

The detail that stands out is where activity is happening. Sales in the six major metros tracked by MSCI jumped 29% to $10.1 billion, while non-major metros fell 9%. That tells brokers that liquidity is available, but conviction is not evenly distributed. Buyers are still paying for quality, scale, and market depth. Sellers in secondary markets may need sharper pricing expectations and a tighter story around rent growth, occupancy, and exit risk.

What brokers should watch next

The through-line this week is selectivity. Office users are consolidating. Office investors are still chasing conversion plays where the basis makes sense. Retail is healthier than a lot of people expected, but rent growth has cooled. Industrial keeps rewarding modern, specialized product. Multifamily is liquid, though not loose. If you are a broker, this is the kind of market where preparation wins. The best outreach is specific, timely, and built around what the asset can actually do, not what the owner hopes it is worth.

That is also where MogulAim fits. In a market with narrower margins for error, brokers need sharper targeting, cleaner positioning, and outreach that reflects what is happening on the ground in each asset class. The brokers who move fastest this quarter will probably be the ones who sound like they did the homework.

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