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CRE News Roundup: Office Rebounds, Industrial Tightens, and Insurance Gets Complicated

MogulAim Team··5 min read

The first week of March brought a mix of cautious optimism and structural shifts across commercial real estate. Office made headlines with a rare large-scale expansion, industrial continued its supply correction, retail saw some unusual subleasing opportunities emerge, and climate-driven insurance costs moved closer to the center of deal negotiations. Here is what CRE brokers should know heading into next week.

Chicago Office Gets a Rare Win: IMC Expands to 250,000 Square Feet at Willis Tower

In a market where tenants have largely been shrinking, Dutch trading firm IMC is taking roughly 100,000 additional square feet at Chicago's Willis Tower, bringing its total footprint there to over 250,000 square feet. The deal, reported by CoStar, follows a 10-year lease extension in 2022 and stands out against the backdrop of persistent weak demand across big-city office markets. Law firm Sargent & Lundy also signed a larger lease ahead of an August move in the Loop, adding to cautious optimism about downtown Chicago leasing momentum.

For brokers active in downtown Chicago or other gateway markets, this matters. When a high-profile building strings together back-to-back expansions, it shifts landlord confidence and unlocks renewal conversations that have been on hold. If your pipeline includes office tenants evaluating their footprint, this is the kind of comp that can change a negotiation.

Amazon Puts Unopened Fresh Stores Up for Sublease in Metro Detroit

Amazon has hired a local commercial real estate broker to market several Amazon Fresh grocery stores in Metro Detroit that were built but never opened, according to Thomas Title. The company continues paying rent on the properties while seeking subtenants to fill large-format retail spaces that were purpose-built for grocery. At one point, as many as 10 locations were planned or under construction across the metro area.

These spaces represent an unusual opportunity. Large-format retail with strong infrastructure in established trade areas rarely comes available through traditional channels. Brokers with clients in fitness, food service, distribution, or specialty retail should be tracking subleasing activity like this in their own markets.

Industrial Construction Down 63% Since 2022, Vacancy Topping Out

According to a Colliers report cited by CNBC, industrial construction has fallen 63% since its 2022 peak and vacancy appears to be topping out. Net absorption is projected to jump significantly as reshoring initiatives, manufacturing investment, and data center demand continue to fuel occupancy. The supply wave that pressured rents two years ago is now drying up.

For industrial brokers, this is a meaningful signal. Landlords who stretched on concessions during the high-vacancy period are likely to tighten terms as available space shrinks. If you have tenant clients on long search timelines, the window for maximum leverage may be narrowing. Owners with vacancy should also be reassessing asking rates given the shift in fundamentals.

Private Nonresidential Construction Posted First Annual Decline Since 2020

Altus Group's CRE This Week noted the U.S. Census Bureau's construction spending report for full-year 2025 showed private nonresidential construction fell 3.1% to $742.4 billion. The decline reflects fading momentum from manufacturing-related projects alongside elevated interest rates, tariff-driven material costs, and tighter construction lending. Total construction spending was also down year over year in December.

Less new supply is a net positive for existing inventory across most commercial property types. For brokers, this reinforces the case for near-term occupancy and rent stability in well-located assets. The recovery in this cycle is increasingly supply-driven rather than demand-driven, which changes how you frame the market to both tenants and owners.

Climate Risk and Insurance Are Now Deal-Critical Issues

A Reuters analysis drawing on leading real estate legal practitioners identified insurance availability as one of the top forces reshaping deal structures in 2026. Premium and deductible pricing has become hyper-localized, tied directly to climate risk profiles for specific properties and submarkets. In some markets, insurability itself is becoming a deal-critical diligence item before offers are even submitted.

This is no longer just a coastal or high-risk-zone issue. Brokers across markets are seeing insurance costs surface earlier in the diligence process and, in some cases, kill deals that would have closed two years ago. Understanding the insurance exposure of assets in your territory is becoming a baseline competency, not a specialty.

NYC Lawmakers Float Commercial Rent Stabilization Bill

Lawmakers in New York City are considering a commercial rent stabilization bill that would cap annual lease increases through a new guidelines board, according to Thomas Title. The proposal aims to reduce vacancies and give tenants more leverage at renewal. It is still in the discussion phase, but the direction reflects broader tenant advocacy momentum in high-cost urban markets.

For brokers working in New York or tracking policy trends in other major metros, this is worth monitoring. Early-stage proposals like this can create uncertainty that accelerates leasing decisions on both sides. Tenants may want to lock in terms before any framework takes effect. Owners may want to do the same.

What Brokers Should Watch

The clearest near-term signal is the industrial supply correction. If you are active in that sector, start conversations with clients now about how tightening availability affects their timeline and budget assumptions. On the office side, expansion deals in challenged markets are worth amplifying with landlord clients who need proof points for renewal conversations. And if you are not already asking about insurance costs in early-stage owner conversations, start now.

Tools like MogulAim help you stay on top of your outreach pipeline so you are positioned when market windows open. The brokers who close when conditions shift are the ones already in the conversation.

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